Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitBrongegevens verslechterd
Gegevens van 26 okt 2026, 07:03 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Huidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 79.1%
Voorspellers
7
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 uur geleden
Verouderd20 mei 26, 21:59 UTC1 feb 29, 22:49 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Charlie Kirk’s murder be used as pretense for troops at polling booths in 2026, 2028?
Manifold MarketsRussian Luna-27 probe to find resources that can be used as fuel on the lunar soil by the end of 2028?
FutuurDark matter used as reaction mass by spacecraft before 2100
Manifold MarketsWhen will a humanoid robot first be used as farm labor?
Manifold MarketsWill anyone who admitted to a crime on Manifold have it used as evidence against them in a court case before 2028?
Manifold Markets2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiRegels
Trump's new ballroom contains numerous underground structures which could be used for shelter against some sort of assault on the white house:
- https://xcancel.com/thothratm/status/2056829453569769523#m
- This market resolves Yes if Trump or the 2028 Republican presidential nominee uses the ballroom or any underground white house structures to shelter in during some crisis, such as a contested election, mass protests outside the white house, or a non-election related emergency which requires sheltering within the ballroom or beneath the white house.
- I will not bet in this market, in order to be as neutral as possible with the resolution.
