🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term?
PolitiekOne-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitiekMiddle East2jManifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingJa 93.7%
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31
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binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 15 uur geleden
Verouderd25 jun 25, 03:37 UTC19 jan 29, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by the end of President Donald Trump's term on January 20, 2029, there is credible evidence of U.S. military personnel being deployed on Iranian soil.
- Acceptable sources for verification include official statements from the U.S. Department of Defense, reputable news organizations, or other authoritative reports confirming such deployment.
- If no such evidence is available by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".
- Update 2025-06-25 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that for a YES resolution, the U.S. military personnel must be fighting on the ground.
- Spies or CIA agents will not be counted.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term??
- Manifold Markets prijst Yes op 94% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term? afgewikkeld?
- 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term? wordt naar verwachting op 19 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt 🇺🇸🇮🇷 American boots on the ground in Iran by the end of Trump's term? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria