Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 99%
Voorspellers
45
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd17 mei 25, 20:46 UTC31 dec 26, 11:11 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will there be verified U.S. federal government actions intended to influence an Alberta independence referendum?
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PredictItWill the Greenlandic Parliament pass a resolution by November 15 to schedule a national independence referendum?
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2027 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
Manifold MarketsIf Labour wins the next UK election will there be a Scottish independence referendum announced during that parliament?
Manifold MarketsRegels
This market will resolve to YES if, by December 31, 2026, the Canadian province of Alberta holds a referendum in which a majority of voters cast ballots in favour of Alberta's independence from Canada.
- If no such referendum occurs by the specified date, or if a province-wide referendum with at least 33% voter turnout is held prior to the date and declared defeated, the market will resolve to NO.
- The referendum does not have to be legally binding or ultimately result in succession.
- Many similar independence referendums around the world have had questionable legal binding basis.
