Manifold MarketsGeen KYCGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige gemeenschapsvoorspellingNee 90%
Voorspellers
9
Vraagtype
binary
Methodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Brontype
Voorspelling
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 17 uur geleden
Verouderd17 okt 25, 16:48 UTC31 dec 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRegels
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single company publicly announces verifiable binding purchase agreements or confirmed pre-orders for 10,000 or more passenger-carrying electric Vertical Take-Off and Landing (eVTOL) aircraft by December 31, 2026, where a monetary commitment (e.g., deposit, pre-delivery payment) has been made for these units.
- The resolution will be based on official company statements, financial reports, or credible aviation news sources.
- If a company's "sales" or "order book" explicitly includes non-binding Letters of Intent (LOIs) or Memoranda of Understanding (MOUs) to reach the 10,000 threshold, these will count if they are presented by the company as part of their total units "sold" or "ordered" with an anticipated delivery timeframe that includes 2026.
- The eVTOL industry is a rapidly developing sector focused on creating electric aircraft capable of vertical take-off and landing, primarily for urban air mobility (UAM) and regional air mobility (RAM).
- Several companies are in various stages of development, certification, and pre-production, with many targeting commercial operations and initial customer deliveries around 2026.
Open markten
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,3 mln.
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 802,6K
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Totaal volume
- € 736,5K
- 24u volume
- € 585,6K
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor 10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027??
- Manifold Markets prijst No op 90% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt 10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027? afgewikkeld?
- 10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027? wordt naar verwachting op 31 december 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt 10000+ passenger eVTOLs sold by one company by 2027? afgewikkeld?
- Manifold Markets wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: Resolution criteria