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Gegevens van 21 aug 2026, 18:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Democratic Party 50%
Marktkwaliteit
22 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 27 minuten geleden
21 aug 26, 17:453 nov 26, 0:00
Trends
Regels
the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
CoinRithm-referentie Democratic Party 96% · 2 platforms · band van 46 pt
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — WI-04 House Election Winner · Democratic Party 99%
Open markten
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 160,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 845,4K
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 11,5 mln.
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 50,3 mln.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor WI-04 House Election Winner?
- Limitless prijst Democratic Party op 50% per 21 augustus 2026.
- Wanneer wordt WI-04 House Election Winner afgewikkeld?
- WI-04 House Election Winner wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt WI-04 House Election Winner afgewikkeld?
- Limitless wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: the named outcome · the named outcome. <p>This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Waar wordt WI-04 House Election Winner nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.