KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Apr 1, 2027 97%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
40 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 105,1
Liquiditeit
€ 1,6K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
6.1 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
7 apr 26, 14:00 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will Gavin Newsom announce his presidential candidacy?
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KalshiWill JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be the presidential nominee in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump endorse JD Vance for president before 2027?
PolymarketRegels
If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency.
- Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement.
- The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed.
- Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify.
- Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
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- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy??
- Kalshi prijst Before Apr 1, 2027 op 97% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? afgewikkeld?
- When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will JD Vance announce his presidential candidacy? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If JD Vance has announced that he will run for President of the United States in 2028 the named outcome, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes.