KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 76%
Marktkwaliteit
40 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 327,6
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
22.0% / 29.0%
Spread
7.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 11 minuten geleden
2 sep 26, 23:00 UTC3 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Regels
If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:United States Postal ServiceThe New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- News confirmation is defined as a published article, broadcast segment, or official news report by a Source Agency that A) explicitly states a qualifying state submission was completed, B) is based on journalistic investigation, sources, or evidence, and C) is presented as factual reporting rather than speculation, rumor, or unverified allegation.
- State means one of the 50 states.
- A qualifying submission requires a state or its authorized designee to complete the transfer of federal ballot-mail data through the Federal Ballot Mail Portal.
- Account creation, portal familiarization, design communication, optional notice, intent, planning, and a failed or incomplete upload do NOT qualify.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS??
- Kalshi prijst No op 76% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? afgewikkeld?
- Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will any state submit ballot-mail data to USPS? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If a completed submission by any of the 50 states of federal ballot-mail data through the USPS Federal Ballot Mail Portal is confirmed by any of the Source Agencies after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.