KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Above -0.5% 98%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
55 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 6,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 10,2K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
14 sep 26, 19:00 UTC18 sep 26, 13:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the dollar lose its leading reserve currency status by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill an economic union be formed between the CANZUK nations before 2045?
Manifold MarketsBy 2028, will economists attribute a visible break in US economic or productivity trends to AI?
Manifold MarketsHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
KalshiTexas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026
KalshiJobs numbers in Sep 2026?
KalshiRegels
If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
Afwikkeling via:The Conference Board
- -0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States.
- This market will resolve using the month-over-month percent change for August 2026 stated in the first Conference Board release that reports the August 2026 LEI.
- The market will use the percent change expressly reported by The Conference Board and will not independently calculate the change from index levels.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor Above -0.5% is 98%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 1 procentpunt uiteen.
CoinRithm-referentie Above -0.5% 98% · 2 platforms · 1 pt spreiding tussen venues
Open markten
Macro & EconomyKALSHI(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- At least $50,97599%
- At least $51,05098%
- At least $51,12598%
+54 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 48,4K
- 24u volume
- € 48,3K
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-5.0pt45%
- 8,200 or above-4.4pt20%
+4 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mln.
KALSHI30-year mortgage rate this week
- Above 6.80%+3.0pt99%
- Above 6.78%+1.0pt99%
- Above 6.77%+2.0pt99%
+18 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt73%
- Above $4.80+8.0pt64%
- Above $5.00+1.0pt41%
+10 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHIS&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Totaal volume
- € 7,9K
- 24u volume
- € 7,9K
KALSHIBank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Maintains rate+1.0pt60.2%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt34.3%
- Hike >25bps+3.0pt3.7%
+2 extra uitkomsten
- Texas ERCOT peak electricity demand on Sep 17, 2026
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- Sweden rate decision in September
- Will Canva’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will the median home value in the LA Metro area be on September 30?
- How high will 30yr mortgage rate get this year?
- Anduril vs Lockheed Martin - higher valuation on December 31?
- How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
- Connecticut multifamily housing permits in 2026
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- Kalshi prijst Above -0.5% op 98% per 17 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt US Leading Economic Index change in August afgewikkeld?
- US Leading Economic Index change in August wordt naar verwachting op 18 september 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt US Leading Economic Index change in August afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
- Waar wordt US Leading Economic Index change in August nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Limitless.