KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: 40+ (97%)
Afgewikkeld: 1 nov 2026, 05:50
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Winnende Uitkomst
40+
Op 7 dagen afstand
—
Op 24 uur afstand
—
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 1 nov 2026, 03:31 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
40+97%
10-1410%
15-191%
20-241%
25-291%
30-391%
5-91%
<51%
40+Gewonnen
10-14Verloren
15-19Verloren
20-24Verloren
25-29Verloren
30-39Verloren
5-9Verloren
<5Verloren
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Manifold MarketsRegels
If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 31, 2026 is at least 40, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Roll Call
- How this is resolved The observation period begins at 12:00:00 AM ET on Oct 31, 2026 and ends at 11:59:59 PM ET on Oct 31, 2026. The primary resolution source for this market is Roll Call. In the event that Roll Call data is unavailable or inaccurate, alternative sources may be used at Kalshi's discretion. Payout criteria Truths, ReTruths, and Quote Truths are included in the total count. Replies are included if captured by Roll Call. "Between" is inclusive of the lower and upper bound. Doesn’t count for payout: Posts deleted as of 12:00 AM ET.
Regels per uitkomst
- 40+
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 31, 2026 is at least 40, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 10-14
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 31, 2026 is between 10 and 14, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 15-19
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 31, 2026 is between 15 and 19, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 20-24
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 31, 2026 is between 20 and 24, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 25-29
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 31, 2026 is between 25 and 29, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 30-39
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 31, 2026 is between 30 and 39, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5-9
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 31, 2026 is between 5 and 9, then the market resolves to Yes.
- <5
- If the number of Truth Social posts by Donald Trump on Oct 31, 2026 is below 5, then the market resolves to Yes.