How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing1mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
At least 10 · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
—
Opgeslagen prijs
At least 10 98%Koploper van 13 uitkomsten
At least 10 98%Marktkwaliteit
37 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Open interest
US$ 4K
Gemiddelde open interestBied / Laat
— / —
At least 10Spread
—
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 46 minuten geleden
Vertraagd20 aug 26, 14:00 UTC15 dec 26, 14:59 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · At least 10
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
—
Regels
If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 40 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The qualifying districts are the 235 in which Trump received more votes than Harris in 2024, as calculated by The Downballot in its 2024 presidential results by congressional district table, for the district boundaries in use at the 2026 elections. That list is fixed as of Issuance and identified by state and district number, so later boundary changes and revisions to the 2024 vote totals do NOT add or remove districts. A district counts only if the candidate elected there at the November 3, 2026 general election, for the term beginning January 3, 2027, is listed on the ballot as a Democrat (including Minnesota's Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party), including as preferring the Democratic Party where a state uses an open, top-two or top-four ballot. If a runoff is required to determine the winner of any race, the runoff result governs. Independent and third-party winners do NOT count, even if they caucus with Democrats.
Regels per uitkomst
- At least 10
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 19
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 19 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 22
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 22 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 13
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 13 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 16
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 16 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 25
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 25 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 28
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 28 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 31
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 31 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 35
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 35 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 40
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 40 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 46
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 46 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 52
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 52 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 58
- If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 58 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
