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Gegevens van 8 sep 2026, 17:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Before Oct 1, 2026 1%
Marktkwaliteit
23 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 380,3
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
- / 3.0%
Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
11 aug 26, 00:00 UTC1 okt 26, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Regels
If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSThe New York TimesAxiosCNNReutersThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- An announcement that the official will leave the office within the next year also resolves the market to Yes.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 606,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 721K
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 411,2K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader??
- Kalshi prijst Before Oct 1, 2026 op 1% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? afgewikkeld?
- John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt John Thune announces departure as Senate Majority Leader? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Senate Majority Leader has resigned or otherwise left their specified position the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.