Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends?
One-OffUS PoliticsGeopolitiek2j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 93%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 3,9K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
6.9% / 9.9%
Spread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
18 jul 25, 14:00 UTC20 jan 29, 15:00 UTC
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If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Supreme Court
- The case must meet the following requirements: (1) The petition for certiorari explicitly raises a claim or question under the Third Amendment to the United States Constitution as a question presented; OR (2) The lower court decision being appealed explicitly addressed a Third Amendment claim on the merits; OR (3) The Supreme Court's order granting certiorari explicitly identifies a Third Amendment issue as a question for review.
- For the avoidance of doubt: A case where the Third Amendment is mentioned only in passing, in dicta, or as part of a general constitutional analysis without being a distinct claim SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion A case where the Third Amendment is raised only in amicus briefs but not by the parties SHALL NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes: the Court grants cert in a case where a homeowner challenges military housing requirements under the Third Amendment; the Court grants cert in a case where the question presented is "Whether police officers qualify as 'soldiers' under the Third Amendment”; the Court grants cert where a lower court ruled on the scope of Third Amendment protections and that ruling is being appealed.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends??
- Kalshi prijst No op 93% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? afgewikkeld?
- Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? wordt naar verwachting op 20 januari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the Supreme Court hear a 3rd Amendment case before Trump's term ends? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to any 3rd Amendment case before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.