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  3. Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?
Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?

Will a Russian sanctions bill become law?

One-OffPolitiekGeopolitiekRussia / Ukraine6mnd
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Ja
Ja 16%
Marktkwaliteit

24 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 0

Liquiditeit

€ 13,3

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

9.9% / 15.0%

Spread

51.5%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden

26 dec 25, 15:001 jan 27, 15:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Yes16%

Regels

If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors; (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion; (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
  • Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.

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Regels

If a bill sanctioning Russia has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The legislation must establish new material restrictive measures explicitly targeting the Russian Federation by mandating or authorizing: (i) new primary sanctions against Russia or key economic sectors; (ii) new secondary sanctions on foreign third parties facilitating Russian trade or evasion; (iii) the seizure and transfer of blocked or immobilized Russian sovereign assets to support Ukraine; and/or (iv) the designation of Russia as a state sponsor of terrorism that triggers automatic sanctions.
  • Routine re-authorizations or technical modifications of existing programs—such as those sometimes included in the National Defense Authorization Act (NDAA) or appropriations bills—are excluded.
  • For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override.