KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
2.5°C to 2.9°C · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Opgeslagen prijs
2.5°C to 2.9°C 60.5%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
2.5°C to 2.9°C 60.5%Marktkwaliteit
75 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 944,4
Open interest
US$ 41K
Hoge open interestBied / Laat
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2.5°C to 2.9°CSpread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 1 minuut geleden
24 jun 26, 23:00 UTC15 aug 27, 14:00 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · 2.5°C to 2.9°C
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will the peak RONI value for El Niño be during the NDJ 2026-27 season?
KalshiWhat will the peak RONI value be for the NDJ 2026-27 quarter?
KalshiWill this El Niño be the strongest ever recorded?
Manifold MarketsWill El Niño break NOAA's all-time record? The official ONI value for Aug–Oct 2026 (record: +2.59)
Manifold MarketsWill there be a Super El Niño this winter (2026–27)?
PolymarketWill the 2026–27 El Niño be the strongest on record?
PolymarketRegels
If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.5 and 2.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:NOAA Climate Prediction Center
- The peak RONI value is determined solely from values published in the NOAA CPC official RONI table that are designated as final (non-preliminary). For La Niña contracts, the peak RONI value refers to the single most negative (i.e., lowest) RONI value. The latest Expiration Date shall be one week after the Source Agency publishes the final RONI value for the last three-month period falling within the time period. However, if the peak RONI value necessary to determine the Market Outcome can be conclusively established prior to that date (e.g., the season has formally ended and all relevant values are final), expiration may be moved to an earlier date and time.
Regels per uitkomst
- 2.5°C to 2.9°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.5 and 2.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- At least 3.0°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is at least 3.0°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 2.0°C to 2.4°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 2.0 and 2.4°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 1.5°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is below 1.5°C, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 1.5°C to 1.9°C
- If the peak RONI value during the 2026-27 El Niño season is between 1.5 and 1.9°C, then the market resolves to Yes.