KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
12 or more 96%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
44 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 4,1K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
5.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
1 sep 26, 02:00 UTC5 okt 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If Coalition avenir Québec has won at least 12 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Elections Quebec
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either (a) the time for filing legal challenges has expired without challenge, (b) any legal challenges have been finally resolved, or (c) the elected member has taken their seat in the parliament/legislature.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of any subsequent changes in affiliation.
- The count will be determined when the new legislature takes their seat, even if vacant seats remain or some results are continuing to be challenged.
- If the election is postponed, the market will remain open and resolve based on the rescheduled election, unless the postponement extends beyond one year from the originally scheduled date, in which case the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
- If the election is cancelled entirely (that is, it is not Fully Conducted as defined in the Contract), the market will resolve to the last fair market price.
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats??
- Kalshi prijst 12 or more op 96% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? afgewikkeld?
- Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? wordt naar verwachting op 5 oktober 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If Coalition avenir Québec has won at least 12 seats in the 2026 Quebec general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Quebec general election: CAQ number of seats? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.