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Conditional on the next US President being Republican, will China invade Taiwan during the next presidential term?
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2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner
€ 44
Will the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
€ 0
Taiwan Local Elections winner?
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Will Xi meet with Takaichi by which date?
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Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
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If the winner of the next Taiwanese presidential election is William Lai, then the market resolves to Yes.