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Gegevens van 8 sep 2026, 22:50 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
U.S. Senator 0%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
26 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
9.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
20 aug 26, 14:00 UTC1 feb 29, 04:59 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the United States still be at war with Iran when the next Democratic president is inaugurated?
Manifold MarketsWill at least 90% of US adults believe the president inaugurated in 2029 was legitimately elected?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegels
If the named outcome is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The New York TimesAssociated PressBloomberg NewsReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABC NewsCBS NewsCNNFox NewsMSNBCNBC News
- This must be confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency.
- Each market resolves independently and more than one can resolve YES.
- If the person has held none of the offices listed, every market resolves NO.
- "Previously held" means the person was sworn in and served in the office at any time before January 20, 2029.
- Any length of service counts, and it does not matter whether the person reached the office through election, appointment or succession.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029??
- Kalshi prijst U.S. Senator op 0% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? afgewikkeld?
- Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? wordt naar verwachting op 1 februari 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Prior offices of the President inaugurated in 2029? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the named outcome is an office previously held by the first person inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.