KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Dec 1, 2026 15%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
35 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 194,8
Liquiditeit
€ 2,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
10.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
6 aug 26, 14:00 UTC1 nov 26, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will the first hurricane form in the Atlantic in 2026?
PolymarketWhen will the next Atlantic hurricane form?
KalshiWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
PolymarketWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by September 30, 2026?
ForecastExWill any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the United States by November 30, 2026?
ForecastExRegels
If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 157 mph) forms in the Atlantic the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration
Open markten
WeatherPOLYMARKETHighest temperature in Hong Kong on September 9?
- 32°C+90.5pt100%
- 25°C or below-0.1pt0%
- 26°C0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 141,1K
- 24u volume
- € 129,1K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Munich on September 9?
- 22°C+77.4pt100%
- 17°C or below-1.1pt0%
- 18°C-4.0pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Chengdu on September 9?
- 27°C+68.5pt100%
- 21°C or below-0.3pt0%
- 22°C-0.9pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- 93° or above87.6%
- 91° to 92°7.6%
- 89° to 90°1.9%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 72,2K
- 24u volume
- € 71,8K
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Miami+44.0pt99%
- Chicago+13.0pt99%
- Houston64%
+19 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 71,6K
POLYMARKETHighest temperature in Shanghai on September 9?
- 28°C+47.0pt100%
- 24°C or below0%
- 25°C-0.1pt0%
+8 extra uitkomsten
- Highest temperature in Tokyo on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Beijing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Milan on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Chongqing on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Shenzhen on September 9?
- Highest temperature in London on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Taipei on September 9?
- Highest temperature in Guangzhou on September 9?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will the next Category 5 hurricane form??
- Kalshi prijst Before Dec 1, 2026 op 15% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? afgewikkeld?
- When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? wordt naar verwachting op 1 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will the next Category 5 hurricane form? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If a hurricane (wind speeds of at least 157 mph) forms in the Atlantic the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.