North Carolina early voters: party registration margin?
PolitiekOne-OffAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezing9d
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
D+8 or more · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Opgeslagen prijs
D+8 or more 73%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
D+8 or more 73%Marktkwaliteit
37 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Open interest
US$ 1,1K
Lage open interestBied / Laat
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D+8 or moreSpread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 45 minuten geleden
Vertraagd24 sep 26, 21:00 UTC4 nov 26, 14:59 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · D+8 or more
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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KalshiRegels
If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 8 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:University of Florida Election Lab
- The value is the Democrat figure minus the Republican figure in the "Percent" column of the "Total Voted by Party Registration" table on the North Carolina page of the UF Election Lab's 2026 Early Voting Tracker, as displayed to one decimal place at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026. Total Voted includes in-person early votes and returned mail ballots. If the page is unavailable at that time, the same percentages computed from the voteddem, votedrep and voted_none values for North Carolina in the UF Election Lab's 2026 early vote data file (https://election.lab.ufl.edu/data-downloads/earlyvote/2026/US.csv) and rounded to one decimal place are used. A negative value is a Republican lead. Each range includes both of its endpoints. Updates posted after that time are not counted.
Regels per uitkomst
- D+8 or more
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is at least 8 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+6 to D+7.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 6 and 7.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+2 to D+3.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 2 and 3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+4 to D+5.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 4 and 5.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- R+4 or more
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is below -3.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- R+2 to R+3.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between -3.9 and -2 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- R+0.1 to R+1.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between -1.9 and -0.1 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- D+0 to D+1.9
- If the Democratic share minus the Republican share, in percentage points, of North Carolina early votes by party registration reported by the UF Election Lab for the 2026 general election is between 0 and 1.9 at 10:00 AM ET on November 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.