KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 87%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,4K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
12.0% / 15.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
28 apr 26, 01:03 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Open markten
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
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- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor South Carolina Senate margin of victory?
- Kalshi prijst No op 87% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt South Carolina Senate margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- South Carolina Senate margin of victory wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt South Carolina Senate margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in South Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.