KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Hochul, 4+ pts 92%+3.8ptKoploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
52 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,2K
Liquiditeit
€ 11,5K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 minuten geleden
29 apr 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
- 24u volume
- € 2,1 mln.
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 621,6K
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Totaal volume
- € 19,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 488,8K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor New York Governor margin of victory?
- Kalshi prijst Hochul, 4+ pts op 92% per 20 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt New York Governor margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- New York Governor margin of victory wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt New York Governor margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in New York by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.