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Gegevens van 9 sep 2026, 00:57 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Democrats, 2+ pts 23%
Marktkwaliteit
34 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 36,3
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
17.0% / 23.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
5 mei 26, 20:24 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 2nd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Open markten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory?
- Kalshi prijst Democrats, 2+ pts op 23% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Nevada's 2nd District margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 2nd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.