North Carolina's 1st District margin of victory
12.0 ptn (24u)One-OffPolitiekAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20261j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
Davis, 1+ pts · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Opgeslagen prijs
Davis, 1+ pts 65%Koploper van 5 uitkomsten
Davis, 1+ pts 65%Marktkwaliteit
33 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 306,5
Open interest
US$ 1,3K
Lage open interestBied / Laat
— / —
Davis, 1+ ptsSpread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
5 mei 26, 20:20 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · Davis, 1+ pts
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Democratic Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Democratic Party will be summed. If the Democratic Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Democratic Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Democratic Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Democratic Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regels per uitkomst
- Davis, 1+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Davis, 4+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Davis, 7+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 7 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Davis, 10+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 10 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Davis, 13+ pts
- If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 1st District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
