KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Democrats, 21+ pts 79%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
32 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 125,9
Lage liquiditeitSpread
6.9 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 16 minuten geleden
29 apr 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maryland by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 112,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 1,2 mln.
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+7.9pt54%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-9.0pt44%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.4%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.3%
- Gavin Newsom14.3%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 184,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 891,3K
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson67.3%
- Susan Collins32.7%
- Totaal volume
- € 4,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 505,9K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.0pt85.2%
- Republican Party-1.0pt14.8%
- Totaal volume
- € 25,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 384,3K
KALSHIOhio Senate winner?
- Sherrod Brown-2.0pt51.5%
- Jon Husted+1.0pt48.5%
- Totaal volume
- € 2,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 358,3K
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Iowa Senate winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- TX-15 House winner?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Maryland Governor margin of victory?
- Kalshi prijst Democrats, 21+ pts op 79% per 10 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Maryland Governor margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Maryland Governor margin of victory wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Maryland Governor margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maryland by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.