KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Nee 88%
Marktkwaliteit
40 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 258,9
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
9.8% / 17.0%
Spread
7.2 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
5 mei 26, 20:23 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 6th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Democratic Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Democratic Party if the Democratic Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Democratic Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
Open markten
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
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- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory?
- Kalshi prijst No op 88% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Kentucky's 6th District margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 6th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.