Kentucky's 4th District margin of victory
One-OffPolitiekAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 202612mnd
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
Gallrein, 3+ pts · —
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Opgeslagen prijs
Gallrein, 3+ pts 80%Koploper van 14 uitkomsten
Gallrein, 3+ pts 80%Marktkwaliteit
26 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Open interest
US$ 15,1K
Gemiddelde open interestBied / Laat
— / —
Gallrein, 3+ ptsSpread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 46 minuten geleden
Vertraagd10 okt 26, 20:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · Gallrein, 3+ pts
Geselecteerd orderboek laden…
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 36 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Kentucky State Board of Elections
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed. If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regels per uitkomst
- Gallrein, 3+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 12+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 6+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 36+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 36 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 30+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 30 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 42+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 42 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 39+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 39 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 15+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 15 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 24+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 33+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 18+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 21+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 21 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 27+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 27 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gallrein, 9+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kentucky's 4th District by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
