Indiana's 3rd District margin of victory
One-OffPolitiekAmerikaanse politiekVerkiezingAmerikaanse tussentijdse verkiezingen 20261j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Stutzman, 14+ pts 94%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Stutzman, 14+ pts 94%Marktkwaliteit
29 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Open interest
€ 370,4
Lage open interestSpread
8.2 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
5 mei 26, 20:23 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type. For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound. No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If the Republican Party runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying natural the Republican Party will be summed. If the Republican Party wins the election, the margin will be positive. If the Republican Party loses the election, the margin will be negative. If the Republican Party ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. For uncontested races where the Republican Party is the only candidate, the margin shall be 100 percentage points or the total number of votes cast (for raw votes).
Regels per uitkomst
- Stutzman, 14+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 14 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stutzman, 17+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stutzman, 20+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 20 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stutzman, 23+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 23 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stutzman, 26+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stutzman, 29+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 29 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stutzman, 32+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 32 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stutzman, 35+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 35 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Stutzman, 38+ pts
- If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 3rd District by 38 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
