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  3. Iowa Governor margin of victory
Iowa Governor margin of victory

Iowa Governor margin of victory

3.2% (24u)One-OffPolitiekUS PoliticsVerkiezing1j
KalshiKalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten
Huidige impliciete kans
Republicans, 9+ pts
Republicans, 9+ pts 6%-3.2%
Koploper van 3 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

28 / 100

Lage kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 1,9

Liquiditeit

€ 22,1

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

5.0% / 12.0%

Spread

140.0%

Brede spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden

29 apr 26, 14:003 nov 27, 15:00

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Gekozen uitkomst

Republicans, 9+ pts6%

Regels

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.

Gerelateerde Markten

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

Texas Republican Senate Primary margin of victory

€ 35,5
Ken Paxton, 27+ pts: 100%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

€ 5,7
Republicans, 1+ pts: 35%KalshiKALSHI
Florida Governor margin of victory

Florida Governor margin of victory

€ 3
Republicans, 3+ pts: 66%KalshiKALSHI
Texas Senate margin of victory

Texas Senate margin of victory

€ 2,5
Ken Paxton, 7+ pts: 17%KalshiKALSHI
California Governor Primary margin of victory

California Governor Primary margin of victory

€ 2,2
Xavier Becerra, 3+ pts: 90%KalshiKALSHI
Maine Senate margin of victory

Maine Senate margin of victory

€ 2,1
Democrats, 3+ pts: 50%KalshiKALSHI

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Regels

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
  • For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
  • Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
  • No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
  • For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.