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Gegevens van 9 sep 2026, 07:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Republicans, 2+ pts 0%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
24 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
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Liquiditeit
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Liquiditeit onbekendSpread
9.9 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
1 sep 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Regels
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor California's 23rd District margin of victory?
- Kalshi prijst Republicans, 2+ pts op 0% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt California's 23rd District margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- California's 23rd District margin of victory wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt California's 23rd District margin of victory afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in California's 23rd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.