KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kansRepublicans, 36+ pts 97%Koploper van 9 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
48 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2K
Liquiditeit
€ 2K
Lage liquiditeitBied / Laat
69.0% / 75.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
5 mei 26, 20:213 nov 27, 15:00
Trends
Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies
Gekozen uitkomst
Republicans, 33+ pts75%
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€ 440,5Democrats, 7+ pts: 22%KALSHI
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KALSHITexas Senate margin of victory
€ 175,8James Talarico, 5+ pts: 11%KALSHI
KALSHIActief in deze onderwerpen
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If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S.
- House of Representatives election in Arkansas's 4th District by 24 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The margin of victory shall be calculated as follows based on the margin type.
- For percentage points: the vote percentage received by the Republican Party minus the vote percentage received by the candidate/party/option that finishes immediately behind the Republican Party if the Republican Party wins, or the candidate/party that finishes first if the Republican Party loses.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound.
- No rounding shall be applied to the calculated margin.