KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Jeff Bezos 27%-7.0ptKoploper van 11 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
56 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 1,1K
Liquiditeit
€ 14,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
5.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
8 jan 26, 15:00 UTC1 jan 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Sep 2026?
KalshiWill they announce a presidential library at Trump's Mar-A-Lago by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketWill the U.S. enact a free trade agreement with China?
KalshiIran blockade lifted before Xi visits US?
PolymarketEileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
PolymarketRegels
If the named outcome has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Reporting will be encompassed by this Payout Criterion even if the reported visit is before Issuance as long as the visit was not previously reported.
- Reporting also includes reporting on other sources, e.g. if The New York Times report that Bloomberg reported a given person visited, or that Donald Trump said someone has visited, that would also be encompassed by the Payout Criterion.
Open markten
PoliticsKALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.7%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.7%
- Gavin Newsom13.5%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 193,8 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 710,8K
KALSHIWhat will Trump say this week?
- TDS / Trump Derangement Syndrome99%
- Barack Hussein Obama99%
- Cuba / Cuban99%
+34 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,2 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 584,6K
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+1.3pt91.1%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8.9%
- Totaal volume
- € 29,6 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 407,5K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt60%
- D-House, R-Senate30%
- Republicans sweep-0.6pt9%
+1 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 14,9 mln.
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31-0.8pt3%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
- December+0.5pt21%
- October+0.5pt13%
- September 30,-0.3pt4%
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Brazil Presidential Election
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?
- Venezuela leader end of 2026?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst Jeff Bezos op 27% per 21 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will visit Mar-a-Lago in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the named outcome has visited Mar-a-Lago after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.