KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
0 97.1%Koploper van 5 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
72 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 114,4
Liquiditeit
€ 87,5K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
0.8 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
23 jan 26, 21:00 UTC3 nov 26, 15:00 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will any Senate Democrat lose a primary in 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many House Republicans will lose their primary in 2026?
KalshiWill chuck Schumer lead the senate democrats after 2026 elections?
Manifold MarketsWill the Republicans win the Senate and Democrats win the House in the 2026 election?
ForecastExWill Democrats lose control of the senate in 2024 and 2026, then regain it in 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the Democrats win the Senate, Democrats win the House, and Republicans win the Presidency in the 2028 election?
ForecastExRegels
If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Federal RegisterThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- To be included, candidates must: be running in an election for the office they currently hold (regardless of District), for a party they are currently in, as of primary day for the seat they're contesting in in 2026; be running for the nomination of a position whose election day is on the same date as most Congressional elections in 2026, typically an early Tuesday of November; and lose the Democratic primary for that election to another candidate.
- In jurisdictions with non-partisan or "top-two" primary systems, an incumbent is not considered to have lost if they advance to the General Election ballot, regardless of their placement relative to other advancing candidates.
- For the purposes of determining eligibility, a candidate is considered to be running for the "office they currently hold" if they are seeking re-election to the same legislative body (House or Senate), regardless of changes to their specific district number or geographic constituency.
- In the event that primaries for an unexpired term (Special Election) and the next full term (General Election) are held concurrently, the Payout Criterion applies exclusively to the results of the primary for the next full term.
- If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
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- J.D. Vance50%
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst 0 op 97% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt How many Senate Democrats will lose their primary in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the number of Democratic Senate members that lose their primary in 2026 before Nov 03, 2026 is exactly 0, then the market resolves to Yes.