KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Above 26 (98%)
Afgewikkeld: 30 okt 2026, 03:12
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 30 okt 2026, 01:45 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Above 2675%
Above 291%
Above 2499%
Above 2393%
Above 1799%
Above 23Verloren
Above 17Verloren
Above 20Verloren
Above 26Gewonnen
Above 24Verloren
Above 32Verloren
Above 35Verloren
Above 29Verloren
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PolymarketRegels
If Likud has won above 26 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Central Elections Committee
- Note: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Regels per uitkomst
- Above 23
- If Likud has won above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17
- If Likud has won above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 20
- If Likud has won above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26
- If Likud has won above 26 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 24
- If Likud has won above 24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 32
- If Likud has won above 32 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35
- If Likud has won above 35 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 29
- If Likud has won above 29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.