Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?
29.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezing1j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdMiddenprijs van geselecteerd orderboek
Above 20 · —
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Opgeslagen prijs
Above 20 57.5%Koploper van 8 uitkomsten
Above 20 57.5%Marktkwaliteit
45 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 3,4K
Open interest
US$ 28,9K
Hoge open interestBied / Laat
— / —
Above 20Spread
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Marktdata
Bijgewerkt 5 minuten geleden
11 aug 26, 00:22 UTC27 okt 27, 14:00 UTC
Grafiek en wijzigingen tonen opgeslagen historische kansen, niet het geselecteerde actuele orderboek.
Trends
Geselecteerde rij: middenprijs van het orderboek. Andere rijen: opgeslagen, mogelijk genormaliseerde referenties; wijzigingen over 24 uur gebruiken opgeslagen historie.
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Marktdiepte · Above 20
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KalshiHow many seats will Likud win in the 2026 Israel legislative elections?
PredictItMexico 2027 Chamber of Deputies Legislative Election Winner
Manifold MarketsRegels
If Likud has won above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Central Elections Committee
- Note: If Likud runs in this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by that list will be counted. If Likud merges with another party before the election, all seats won by the merged party will be counted, as will any seats won by a joint candidate list the merged party runs on. A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either: The time for legal challenges has expired Challenges have been resolved The member has taken their seat Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged. If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price. Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections. By-elections after the main election are included only if seated simultaneously with the rest of the legislature.
Regels per uitkomst
- Above 20
- If Likud has won above 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 17
- If Likud has won above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 23
- If Likud has won above 23 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 24
- If Likud has won above 24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 26
- If Likud has won above 26 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 35
- If Likud has won above 35 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 29
- If Likud has won above 29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 32
- If Likud has won above 32 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.
