KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdWaarschuwing datakwaliteitGeen actuele koersen
Gegevens van 9 sep 2026, 00:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Before Apr 1, 2027 19%
Marktkwaliteit
≤49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 2,6K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
8.0% / 10.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
21 jul 26, 20:44 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by which date?
PolymarketIsrael and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?
PolymarketJoseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?
PolymarketWill a commercial non-stop passenger flight operate from a UK airport to Syria before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Lebanon survive the current conflict in the middle east?
Manifold MarketsWill Lebanon be at war with Israel before the end of the Israel-Hamas Conflict?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The Washington PostFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe GuardianABCBloomberg NewsCBSSouth China Morning PostNBCthe Associated PressThe VergeBBCAxiosCNNABC News AustraliaThe InformationSemaforMSNBCCBCReutersPoliticoThe New York Times
- Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market.
- Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify.
- Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.
Open markten
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+21.6pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 25,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 695K
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.5pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIAl Qadsiah vs Al Ahli Saudi
- Al Qadsiah+21.0pt68.6%
- Tie-3.0pt20.6%
- Al Ahli Saudi-17.0pt10.8%
- Totaal volume
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.0pt55.1%
- Benjamin Netanyahu28.6%
- Naftali Bennett8.2%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.1pt98%
- Yes-0.1pt2%
- Totaal volume
- € 6,9 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 107,6K
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
- No+0.1pt100%
- Yes-0.1pt0%
- Totaal volume
- € 1,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 104,5K
- US x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Al-Ittihad vs Al-Fayha
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Netanyahu out by which date?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume??
- Kalshi prijst Before Apr 1, 2027 op 19% per 9 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume? afgewikkeld?
- Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will nonstop U.S.–Lebanon passenger flights resume? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If a publicly scheduled commercial passenger flight carrying revenue passengers completes a nonstop trip between an airport in the United States and an airport in Lebanon after Issuance and the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.