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Nithya Raman, ≥2% 28.6%Koploper van 5 uitkomstenMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
33 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 1,7K
Lage liquiditeitSpread
7.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
9 jul 26, 18:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
KalshiLos Angeles mayoral election: voter turnout
KalshiWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman Beat Karen Bass? (n/a if doesn’t advance)
Manifold MarketsWill Nithya Raman win the Los Angeles general election for mayor in 2026?
ForecastExWill Nithya Raman win Novembers LA Mayor election?
Manifold MarketsRegels
If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Los Angeles County Registrar-Recorder/County Clerk
- The margin of victory is the vote share received by Nithya Raman minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Nithya Raman if Nithya Raman wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Nithya Raman loses.
- If Nithya Raman wins, the margin will be positive; if Nithya Raman loses, the margin will be negative; if Nithya Raman ties for first place, the margin shall be 0.
- Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied.
- For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range.
- If Nithya Raman runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)?
- Kalshi prijst Nithya Raman, ≥2% op 29% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) afgewikkeld?
- Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman) afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.