KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Socialism / Socialist (98%)
Afgewikkeld: 11 sep 2026, 13:56
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 11 sep 2026, 13:20 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Socialism / Socialist98%
SAVE America Act / SAVE Act99%
Trump (3+ times)37%
Border79%
Tax Cut / Cut Tax79%
Election / Midterm80%
Democrat80%
Transgender1%
Immigrant / Immigration1%
Talarico1%
Supreme Court1%
Schumer1%
Shutdown / Shut Down60%
Event does not qualify1%
SAVE America Act / SAVE ActVerloren
Trump (3+ times)Verloren
BorderVerloren
Tax Cut / Cut TaxVerloren
Election / MidtermVerloren
DemocratVerloren
Socialism / SocialistGewonnen
TransgenderVerloren
Immigrant / ImmigrationVerloren
TalaricoVerloren
Supreme CourtVerloren
SchumerVerloren
Shutdown / Shut DownVerloren
Event does not qualifyVerloren
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurMike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026?
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KalshiWill Mike Johnson win the Louisiana 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketWill Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Gearchiveerde regels op evenementniveau. De exacte voorwaarden per uitkomst zijn niet meer beschikbaar.
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the RNC Midterm Convention using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the RNC Midterm Convention will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Mike Johnson speaking in an official capacity.