KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Democratic party 88.8%+66.0ptMarge-gecorrigeerd: de ruwe noteringen telden op tot boven 100% en zijn genormaliseerd.
Marktkwaliteit
76 / 100
Hoge kwaliteit24u volume
€ 30,1K
Liquiditeit
€ 18,7K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitBied / Laat
87.0% / 89.0%
Spread
2.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 10 minuten geleden
14 okt 25, 14:003 nov 27, 15:00
Trends
Regels
If the House member sworn in for MO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Library of Congress
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
Open markten
Politics
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
- Marco Rubio17%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 600,3 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 2,9 mln.
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.7pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 1,1 mld.
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt53.4%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt42.7%
- Renan Santos-0.6pt1.9%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.5pt36.8%
- Édouard Philippe29.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon14.7%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom12.9%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 181 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 390,2K
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Brazil Presidential election winner?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- North Carolina Senate winner?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor MO-05 House winner??
- Kalshi prijst Democratic party op 89% per 4 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt MO-05 House winner? afgewikkeld?
- MO-05 House winner? wordt naar verwachting op 3 november 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt MO-05 House winner? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the House member sworn in for MO-05 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.