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  1. Voorspellingsmarkten
  2. Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)
Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (5/18 - 5/24)

70.0% (24u)
KalshiKalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kosten

Deze markt is beslist: Above 40 (97%)

Afgewikkeld: 27 mei 2026, 13:53

Winnende Uitkomst

Above 40

Op 7 dagen afstand

—

Op 24 uur afstand

51%

Huidige impliciete kans
Above 40
Above 40 97%+70.0%
Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit

63 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit
24u volume

€ 807,1

Liquiditeit

€ 1,3K

Lage liquiditeit
Bied / Laat

96.0% / 97.0%

Spread

1.0%

Strakke spread
Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 17 dagen geleden

Verouderd
19 mei 26, 14:1024 aug 26, 14:00

Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn

Above 4097%
Above 3099%
Above 501%
Above 2586%
Above 2098%
Above 1587%
Above 753%
Above 1099%
Above 1003%
Above 599%
0%25%50%75%100%26 mei26 mei27 mei
Uitkomst24uKans
Above 40
Above 40
+70.0%
97%
Above 30
Above 30
+41.0%
99%
Above 50
Above 50
-8.0%
1%
Above 25
Above 25
+68.0%
99%
Above 20
Above 20
+33.0%
98%
Above 15
Above 15
+4.0%
99%

Deze markt is gesloten. Oefenhandel is alleen beschikbaar op open markten.

Regels

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Gerelateerde Markten

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (6/8 - 6/14)

€ 125,5
Above 30: 31%KalshiKALSHI

Regels

If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 5 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • The total is calculated by summing daily counts from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026.
  • The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 15 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 20 from May 18, 2026 to May 24, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.