KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: At least 3%
Afgewikkeld: 9 okt 2026, 05:10
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Winnende Uitkomst
At least 3%
Op 7 dagen afstand
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Op 24 uur afstand
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Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 9 okt 2026, 05:10 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
At least 3%96%
At least 5%93%
At least 12%1%
At least 9%1%
At least 20%5%
At least 25%0%
At least 15%1%
At least 7%1%
At least 12%Verloren
At least 15%Verloren
At least 9%Verloren
At least 7%Verloren
At least 3%Gewonnen
At least 5%Verloren
At least 20%Verloren
At least 25%Verloren
Regels
Gearchiveerde regels op evenementniveau. De exacte voorwaarden per uitkomst zijn niet meer beschikbaar.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Reform UK in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 3% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
