KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: At least 25% (98%)
Afgewikkeld: 9 okt 2026, 05:08
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 9 okt 2026, 05:00 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
At least 30%99%
At least 25%87%
At least 5%0%
At least 10%0%
At least 40%10%
At least 20%99%
At least 30%Verloren
At least 20%Verloren
At least 25%Gewonnen
At least 15%Verloren
At least 40%Verloren
At least 35%Verloren
At least 5%Verloren
At least 10%Verloren
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
If Zack Polanski is leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsIf Zack Polanski is not leader of the Green Party going into the next UK election, will the PM be Green?
Manifold MarketsWill the New Zealand Green Party get 15.00% of the party vote or more at the 2026 Election?
Manifold MarketsIf the PM after the next election is Green, will hitting children be banned in England within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsRegels
Gearchiveerde regels op evenementniveau. De exacte voorwaarden per uitkomst zijn niet meer beschikbaar.
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Green Party in the 2026 Holborn and St Pancras by-election is 5% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:London Borough of Camden
- The percentage is (votes received by the party ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded.
- Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections provision, use certified/official results; qualifying unofficial results may be used only under that provision.
- Write-in votes in the result are included.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator.
- If multiple rounds occur, use the specified round or first round if none is specified.
