KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before 2034 32%Koploper van 4 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
40 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 586,8
Lage liquiditeitSpread
4.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 14 minuten geleden
14 apr 26, 21:00 UTC1 jan 28, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
In the 2028 presidential election will at least one state assign its electoral votes based on the national popular vote?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact reach majority in the Electoral college before 2030?
Manifold MarketsIf Germany's 2025 election votes are (fully or partially) recounted, will BSW reach 5% of votes?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegels
If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:National Popular Vote Inc
- For purposes of this Contract, a state or jurisdiction has "enacted" NPVIC legislation when such legislation has been signed into law by the governor, has become law without the governor's signature after the constitutional waiting period, or has been enacted by veto override; or has otherwise become law.
- The effective date of the law is not relevant; only that it has been enacted.
- Electoral votes are counted based on the apportionment in effect at the time of when the relevant law is enacted.
- States that have withdrawn from the compact through repeal legislation are not counted toward the total.
- If a state's membership in the compact is invalidated by a final court ruling before Jan 1, 2028, that state's electoral votes are not counted.
Open markten
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 605,7 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 697,7K
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 603,2 mln.
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 183,4 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 471,3K
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 extra uitkomsten
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes??
- Kalshi prijst Before 2034 op 32% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes? afgewikkeld?
- Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2028 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Will the NPVIC reach 270 electoral votes? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If states that have enacted the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact possess at least 270 electoral votes before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.