Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

3.0 ptn (24u)One-OffPolitiek US Politics Verkiezing2j

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

Gavin Newsom 22.2%-3.0pt

Koploper van 10 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

56 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 95,6

Liquiditeit

€ 20K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

24.0% / 28.0%

Spread

4.0 pt

Gematigde spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 24 minuten geleden

16 sep 25, 21:007 nov 28, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Gavin Newsom24%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

If Gavin Newsom is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office.
The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance.
Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify.
The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volumetrend

$109

2 jul17d aan data28 jul

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EthereumETH$1,913.05-1.80%

SolanaSOL$73.89-2.62%

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Regels

A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office.
The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance.
Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify.
The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Who will be the first Democrat listed to announce a presidential run?

3.0 ptn (24u)One-OffPolitiek US Politics Verkiezing2j

KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGrof gekalibreerd

Huidige impliciete kans

Gavin Newsom 22.2%-3.0pt

Koploper van 10 uitkomsten

Marktkwaliteit

56 / 100

Gemiddelde kwaliteit

24u volume

€ 95,6

Liquiditeit

€ 20K

Gemiddelde liquiditeit

Bied / Laat

24.0% / 28.0%

Spread

4.0 pt

Gematigde spread

Marktdata

Bijgewerkt 24 minuten geleden

16 sep 25, 21:007 nov 28, 4:59

Trends

Uitkomst24uKans

Alleen virtueel geld, geen echt geldGeen financieel advies

Gekozen uitkomst

Gavin Newsom24%

Inzet (USDT)

Regels

A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office.
The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance.
Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify.
The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volumetrend

$109

2 jul17d aan data28 jul

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€ 100,9K

Toby Doeden: 4%

KALSHI

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

€ 33,1K

Byron Donalds: 97%

POLYMARKET

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary Winner

€ 9,5K

Francesca Hong: 93%

POLYMARKET

TN-04 House Election Winner

€ 8,2K

Republican Party: 92%

POLYMARKET

Actief in deze onderwerpen

BitcoinBTC$63,758.11-1.86%

EthereumETH$1,913.05-1.80%

SolanaSOL$73.89-2.62%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0707-1.86%

XRPXRP$1.06-3.21%

BNBBNB$569.65-1.05%

Gerelateerd Nieuws

Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News

Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News

White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk

Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News

White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News

Regels

A declaration of candidacy requires both filing the appropriate candidacy form (Form 2 with FEC for federal elections or equivalent state/local form) AND a clear, unambiguous public statement explicitly declaring intention to seek the office.
The declaration must be made directly by the person or their officially authorized representatives, explicitly reference the specific office, be publicly accessible through Source Agencies, and occur after market issuance.
Formation of exploratory committees, third-party statements, media speculation, "considering" statements, private communications, or fundraising without explicit declaration do not qualify.
The person must be legally eligible to hold the office under applicable constitutional and statutory requirements.
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the first individual in this list to publicly declare their candidacy for 2028 United States presidential election after Issuance and before Nov 7, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.