KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
$40 trillion 100%+0.4ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 181,4
Liquiditeit
€ 33,7K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
7.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 3 minuten geleden
16 jul 26, 20:45 UTC31 mrt 29, 15:00 UTC
Trends
100%
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will the federal budget AND deficit AND national debt be higher when Trump ceases being president?
Manifold MarketsWill the US national debt surpass 42 trillion during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsPeak US National Debt before 2027?
PolymarketWhat will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?
KalshiWill DeSantis have a role in Trump’s administration?
Manifold MarketsWill the US National Debt exceed $47 Trillion by the end of FY 2030?
ForecastExRegels
If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:FRED
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 42.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 45 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 47.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt increases to 50 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the U.S. federal debt (GFDEBTN) increases to 52.5 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028 (inclusive), then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markten
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 extra uitkomsten
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
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+17 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
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KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Totaal volume
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KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
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- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration?
- Kalshi prijst $40 trillion op 100% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration afgewikkeld?
- Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration wordt naar verwachting op 31 maart 2029 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Peak US National Debt Under Trump Administration afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the U.S. federal debt increases to 40 trillion for any quarter in Q4 2024 to Q4 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.