Brazil presidential runoff: Flávio Bolsonaro margin of victory
5.0 ptn (24u)PolitiekOne-OffVerkiezingLatijns-Amerika1j
KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% 75%-5.0ptKoploper van 6 uitkomsten
Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1% 75%-5.0ptMarktkwaliteit
62 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,9K
Open interest
€ 2,9K
Gemiddelde open interestSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 7 minuten geleden
5 okt 26, 21:00 UTC25 okt 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
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PolymarketRegels
If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The margin of victory is the share of valid votes (excluding blank and null votes) received by Flávio Bolsonaro minus the share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Flávio Bolsonaro if Flávio Bolsonaro wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Flávio Bolsonaro loses. If Flávio Bolsonaro wins, the margin will be positive; if Flávio Bolsonaro loses, the margin will be negative; if Flávio Bolsonaro ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Flávio Bolsonaro runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.
Regels per uitkomst
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥1%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥3%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥5%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥7%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 7%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥9%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 9%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Flávio Bolsonaro, ≥11%
- If the margin of victory for Flávio Bolsonaro in the 2026 Brazilian presidential runoff is at or above 11%, then the market resolves to Yes.