KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Magnitude of at least 5.2 (99%)
Afgewikkeld: 23 okt 2026, 11:15
Door provider geverifieerde afwikkeling
CoinRithm heeft provider-onderbouwd bewijs voor de winnaar en afwikkelingstijd van deze markt.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 24 okt 2026, 09:37 UTC · beleid pm-quality-4
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Magnitude of at least 5.812%
Magnitude of at least 5.666%
Magnitude of at least 6.01%
Magnitude of at least 5.481%
Magnitude of at least 7.08%
Magnitude of at least 5.292%
Magnitude of at least 6.226%
Magnitude of at least 6.47%
Magnitude of at least 6.613%
Magnitude of at least 6.810%
Magnitude of at least 5.6Verloren
Voor sluiting: 90% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Verloren
Voor sluiting: 96% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.2Gewonnen
Voor sluiting: 98% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.6Verloren
Voor sluiting: 18% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Verloren
Voor sluiting: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.4Verloren
Voor sluiting: 4% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.8Verloren
Voor sluiting: 2% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.0Verloren
Voor sluiting: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 7.0Verloren
Voor sluiting: 1% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Verloren
Voor sluiting: 1% ·
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Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
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Manifold MarketsRegels
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Regels per uitkomst
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 23, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.