KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereistGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensGoed gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Magnitude of at least 6.4 33%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Magnitude of at least 6.4 33%Marktkwaliteit
47 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 15,8K
Open interest
€ 11K
Gemiddelde open interestSpread
21.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 2 minuten geleden
7 okt 26, 20:00 UTC8 okt 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Magnitude of at least 6.0Gewonnen
Voor sluiting: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 6.2Gewonnen
Voor sluiting: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.8Gewonnen
Voor sluiting: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.4Gewonnen
Voor sluiting: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.6Gewonnen
Voor sluiting: 99% ·
Magnitude of at least 5.2Gewonnen
Voor sluiting: 99% ·
Voorwaarden van het handelsplatform
Bron: Kalshi
Deze voorwaarden zijn ter informatie; voor gesimuleerd handelen bij CoinRithm gelden eigen regels.
- Vervroegde sluiting:
- Ja
- Afwikkelingstermijn:
- 30m (ter informatie)
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
What will the biggest earthquake be on October 7, 2026?
PolymarketWhere will a 6.0+ magnitude earthquake occur by end of October?
PolymarketHow strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide by October 31?
PolymarketWill there be an 8 magnitude earthquake in California before 2027?
Kalshi8.0 magnitude earthquake in Japan before 2030?
KalshiWill there be an at least 8.0 magnitude earthquake in California before 2028?
KalshiRegels
If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:the United States Geological Survey
- The determining value is the USGS-reported magnitude displayed at Expiration, preferentially moment magnitude (Mw) and otherwise the primary magnitude type reported by USGS. If multiple earthquakes tie for the highest magnitude, all tied earthquakes count. If USGS ComCat is unavailable at Expiration, settlement may be delayed under the Contract contingencies.
Regels per uitkomst
- Magnitude of at least 6.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 5.2
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 5.2 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.4
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.4 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.6
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.6 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 7.0
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 7.0 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Magnitude of at least 6.8
- If the highest USGS-reported earthquake magnitude worldwide during Oct 8, 2026 from 12:00:00 AM through 11:59:59 PM UTC is 6.8 or higher, then the market resolves to Yes.