KalshiGeslotenBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdDeze markt is beslist: Sanction (99%)
Beperkt afwikkelingsbewijs
CoinRithm kan de vastgelegde uitkomst tonen, maar niet elk afwikkelingsveld is door de provider geverifieerd.
Waarschuwing datakwaliteitVerouderde gegevens
Gegevens van 24 aug 2026, 17:30 UTC · beleid pm-quality-3
Huidige impliciete kans
Sanction 99%Koploper van 23 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
49 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
€ 39,7K
Liquiditeit
€ 37,7K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 uur geleden
Verouderd24 aug 26, 12:158 sep 26, 14:00
Waarschijnlijkheidstijdlijn
Sanction94%
Negotiate / Negotiated / Negotiation99%
Nuclear35%
Event does not qualify0%
Blockade1%
Crypto / Bitcoin / Cryptocurrency1%
Iran / Iranian (5+ times)80%
China / Chinese1%
Hormuz1%
Inflation1%
Tariff1%
Economic D-Day / Economic Fury1%
Trump (3+ times)80%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline78%
Russia / Russian1%
Stock Market1%
GDP1%
Tax Cut / Cut Tax1%
Israel / Israeli1%
AI / Artificial Intelligence0%
Ceasefire1%
America First1%
Drone1%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Regels
If a qualifying event does not occur , then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- How this is resolved Video of the Press Conference originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 using the live broadcast or stream.
- If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Press Conference originally scheduled for August 24, 2026 will be used.
- Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
- Scott Bessent speaking in an official capacity.
