KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Elif Eralp 45%-21.0ptKoploper van 5 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
67 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 4,5K
Liquiditeit
€ 10,3K
Gemiddelde liquiditeitSpread
1.0 pt
Strakke spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 4 minuten geleden
11 aug 26, 16:191 okt 27, 14:00
Trends
Regels
If the named outcome wins the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Berlin House of Representatives
- This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls.
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Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
2 handelsplatforms prijzen deze markt momenteel. De liquiditeitsgewogen referentiekans van CoinRithm voor Elif Eralp is 49%. De noteringen lopen ongeveer 4 procentpunten uiteen.
CoinRithm-referentie Elif Eralp 49% · 2 platforms · 4 pt spreiding tussen venues
- Ook beschikbaar op Polymarket — Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? · Elif Eralp 49%
Open markten
Politics
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- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.2pt20%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+48 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
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- 24u volume
- € 782,1K
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance-3.0pt50%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.5%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.4%
+45 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 181,3 mln.
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-1.7pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Jon Ossoff11%
+49 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Next Governing Mayor of Berlin??
- Kalshi prijst Elif Eralp op 45% per 4 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? afgewikkeld?
- Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? wordt naar verwachting op 1 oktober 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the named outcome wins the election for Governing Mayor of Berlin by the Berlin House of Representatives following their state election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Next Governing Mayor of Berlin? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.