KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Before Nov 4 40%Koploper van 10 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
34 / 100
Lage kwaliteit24u volume
—
Liquiditeit
€ 62,8
Lage liquiditeitSpread
6.0 pt
Brede spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 6 minuten geleden
20 aug 26, 14:00 UTC4 nov 26, 04:00 UTC
Trends
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Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
When will AP call the 2026 U.S. House majority?
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ForecastExRegels
If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:The Associated Press
- The call must be an explicit declaration that a candidate, party, or option has won, will win, is projected to win, or equivalent clear language indicating the outlet has determined the winner.
- The call must appear on one of the outlet's primary platforms (main website, television broadcast, or official social media if that is their primary medium) and not be prefaced with qualifiers suggesting uncertainty such as "appears to," "likely to," "probably," or "may have." The relevant time is when the call first becomes publicly visible on the outlet's platform, not when it may have been written, decided internally, or prepared for publication.
- If the call is later retracted, the market nonetheless resolves to Yes based on the initial call time.
- Preliminary exit polls, reporting of other outlets' calls, conditional statements, opinion pieces, and technical glitches do not qualify as definitive calls.
- If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 12AM ET on Nov 4, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority??
- Kalshi prijst Before Nov 4 op 40% per 8 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? afgewikkeld?
- When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? wordt naar verwachting op 4 november 2026 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt When will AP call the 2026 U.S. Senate majority? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the Associated Press makes its first definitive call of a winner for the 2026 U.S. Senate majority before 11PM ET on Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.