KalshiBeschikbaarheid controlerenKYC vereist2% kostenGeverifieerde afwikkelingsgegevensRedelijk gekalibreerdHuidige impliciete kans
Ariana Grande 99%Koploper van 92 uitkomsten
Marktkwaliteit
68 / 100
Gemiddelde kwaliteit24u volume
€ 2,4K
Liquiditeit
€ 167,4K
Hoge liquiditeitSpread
3.0 pt
Gematigde spreadMarktdata
Bijgewerkt 8 minuten geleden
1 jan 26, 15:00 UTC1 jan 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Gerelateerde Markten
Gerelateerde vragen voor context, geen vergelijking van gelijkwaardige contracten.
Will Drake release a new album by which date?
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KalshiWill Kanye release a new album in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Beyonce release an album that reaches #1 on the "Billboard 200" in 2026?
FutuurRegels
If the named outcome releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Afwikkeling via:Spotify
- A “new album”, must be an original composition first released during 2026, including new singles, unreleased tracks, or collaborations featuring new material.
- It may take the form of an LP or EP.
- Re-recordings (unless in a new language), remasters, radio edits, clean or explicit releases of the same underlying track(s), remixes, live versions, acoustic versions, instrumentals, demos, alternative takes, “artist version”-style releases, or any other full reproduction of a song already available on Spotify before 2026 does NOT meet the Payout Criterion.
- Additionally, uploading albums that have not previously been available on Spotify but have been widely publicly available before time period does NOT meet the Payout Criterion for a “new album”
Vergelijking van voorspellingsbronnen
Open markten
EntertainmentKALSHIEmmy winner: Outstanding Variety Series
- The Late Show with Stephen Colbert-4.0pt63.9%
- Tie+7.0pt29.6%
- Last Week Tonight with John Oliver-1.0pt2.8%
+3 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 295,1K
- 24u volume
- € 47,9K
POLYMARKET# of views of next MrBeast Gaming video on day 1?
- 15–17.5M+27.5pt54.5%
- 17.5–20M+26.4pt43.6%
- 12.5–15M-14.2pt1%
+4 extra uitkomsten
POLYMARKETEmmys 2026: Outstanding variety series
- “The Late Show With Stephen Colbert”-0.5pt76.3%
- “Jimmy Kimmel Live!”+2.2pt7.2%
- “The Daily Show”+2.2pt6.2%
+2 extra uitkomsten
KALSHIOscar Winner: Best Picture
- The Odyssey54%
- Dune: Part Three12%
- The Black Ball11%
+37 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 4,5 mln.
- 24u volume
- € 44,3K
KALSHIPractical Magic 2 · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 35+34.0pt99%
- Above 30+1.0pt99%
- Above 2599%
+14 extra uitkomsten
- Totaal volume
- € 219,4K
- 24u volume
POLYMARKETNext James Bond actor?
- No Bond chosen+14.6pt36%
- Jack Lowden-16.6pt20%
- Jack Barton-0.1pt12%
+21 extra uitkomsten
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Veelgestelde vragen
- Wat zijn de huidige kansen voor Who will release a new album in 2026??
- Kalshi prijst Ariana Grande op 99% per 13 september 2026.
- Wanneer wordt Who will release a new album in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Who will release a new album in 2026? wordt naar verwachting op 1 januari 2027 afgewikkeld.
- Hoe wordt Who will release a new album in 2026? afgewikkeld?
- Kalshi wikkelt deze markt als volgt af: If the named outcome releases a new album in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Waar wordt Who will release a new album in 2026? nog meer aangeboden?
- Dezelfde vraag wordt ook aangeboden op Polymarket.